{"id":4566,"date":"2018-03-13T11:28:57","date_gmt":"2018-03-13T14:28:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bmj.com.br\/?p=4566"},"modified":"2018-03-13T11:28:57","modified_gmt":"2018-03-13T14:28:57","slug":"crescimento-sinaliza-retomada-economica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bmj.com.br\/en\/crescimento-sinaliza-retomada-economica\/","title":{"rendered":"Entrevista exclusiva do Estad\u00e3o com Welber Barral"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"n--noticia__subtitle\" style=\"font-weight: 100; font-size: 17.8px !important; text-decoration: none; margin: 0px 0px 15px; padding: 0px; color: #444444; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.4; word-break: break-word; display: block; text-transform: none; width: 788.762px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;\">Tend\u00eancia \u00e9 que as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es continuem crescendo em 2018 e que as importa\u00e7\u00f5es tamb\u00e9m tenham aumento, diz o ex-secret\u00e1rio Entrevista com Welber Barral, ex-secret\u00e1rio de Com\u00e9rcio Exterior.<\/h2>\n<p>Entrevista com Welber Barral, ex-secret\u00e1rio de Com\u00e9rcio Exterior<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_4567\" style=\"width: 942px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4567\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4567\" src=\"https:\/\/bmj.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/1514937386554.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"932\" height=\"621\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bmj.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/1514937386554.jpg 932w, https:\/\/bmj.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/1514937386554-255x170.jpg 255w, https:\/\/bmj.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/1514937386554-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/bmj.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/1514937386554-177x118.jpg 177w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 932px) 100vw, 932px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-4567\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">S\u00c3O PAULO-SP, 27\/09\/2010 &#8211; ECONOMIA &#8211; SEMIN\u00c1RIO SOBRE CRESCIMENTO NO COM\u00c9RCIO EXTERIOR &#8211; Momento em que Welber Barral (Secret\u00e1rio de Com\u00e9rcio Exterior do Minist\u00e9rio do Desenvolvimento) discursa sua palestra.<br \/>FOTO: Ayrton Vignola\/AE<\/p><\/div>\n<h3>Estado: O que explica o super\u00e1vit da balan\u00e7a acima do esperado?<\/h3>\n<p>Welber Barral: Esperava-se um saldo de US$ 60 bilh\u00f5es para o ano passado e foi ainda maior, porque tivemos aumento das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es tanto em quantidade quanto em valor dos produtos. E as importa\u00e7\u00f5es n\u00e3o se recuperaram tanto. Em parte, isso se deve \u00e0 falta de sobressaltos na pol\u00edtica de com\u00e9rcio exterior.<\/p>\n<h3>A queda nas importa\u00e7\u00f5es n\u00e3o mostra que a ind\u00fastria brasileira enfrentou dificuldades?<\/h3>\n<p>O Brasil ainda n\u00e3o superou o slogan do governo militar, que dizia que \u201cexportar \u00e9 o que importa\u201d, mas a economia internacional \u00e9 muito mais complexa do que isso. O fato de termos importado t\u00e3o pouco no ano passado quer dizer que a ind\u00fastria n\u00e3o est\u00e1 funcionando. A maior parte do que compramos do exterior \u00e9 de insumos industriais. Em 2017 j\u00e1 houve um crescimento ante 2016, o que sinaliza uma retomada econ\u00f4mica.<\/p>\n<h3>O aumento das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es tamb\u00e9m n\u00e3o se deveu \u00e0 queda do mercado interno?<\/h3>\n<p>Sim. No ano passado, tamb\u00e9m aumentou a exporta\u00e7\u00e3o de manufaturados, principalmente de ve\u00edculos. As empresas se voltaram para exporta\u00e7\u00e3o no ano passado, para compensar a queda do mercado interno, mas faltam pol\u00edticas de incentivo para o exportador n\u00e3o abandonar o mercado externo quando o Pa\u00eds voltar a crescer.<\/p>\n<h3>Que resultados podemos esperar para este ano?<\/h3>\n<p>Para 2018, o saldo esperado \u00e9 de US$ 45 bi a US$ 50 bi, patamar parecido com o de 2016. N\u00e3o h\u00e1 no horizonte nenhum cen\u00e1rio de crise \u00e0 vista, o que tende a manter os pre\u00e7os das commodities est\u00e1veis. Podemos esperar at\u00e9 uma pequena eleva\u00e7\u00e3o, mas sem a garantia de que a safra vai ser t\u00e3o boa quanto a anterior.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tend\u00eancia \u00e9 que as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es continuem crescendo em 2018 e que as importa\u00e7\u00f5es tamb\u00e9m tenham aumento, diz o ex-secret\u00e1rio Entrevista com Welber Barral, ex-secret\u00e1rio de Com\u00e9rcio Exterior. Entrevista com Welber&#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":4567,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[535,537,538,536],"class_list":{"0":"post-4566","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-international-trade-2","8":"tag-crescimento-economico","9":"tag-importacoes","10":"tag-industria","11":"tag-international-trade"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Entrevista exclusiva do Estad\u00e3o com Welber Barral - BMJ<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Tend\u00eancia \u00e9 que as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es continuem crescendo em 2018 e que as importa\u00e7\u00f5es tamb\u00e9m tenham aumento, diz o ex-secret\u00e1rio Entrevista com Welber Barral, ex-secret\u00e1rio de Com\u00e9rcio Exterior.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bmj.com.br\/en\/crescimento-sinaliza-retomada-economica\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Entrevista exclusiva do Estad\u00e3o com Welber Barral - 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